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Reformasi: The Struggle for Power in Post-Soeharto Indonesia is a non-fiction narrative that charts the course of Indonesian politics between 1996 and 2001.

18 April 2014

Politics: With 10 parties and perhaps as many as four tickets, permutations of possible nomination alliances are numerous. Early in the week, support for Gerindra seemed possible from Partai Demokrat and National Mandate Party (Pan) – which would probably inadvertently benefit Jakarta Governor Joko Widodo (‘Jokowi’). Later, however, President Yudhoyono showed hesitation (Page 2). Gerindra might also draw support from the Islamic United Development Party (PPP), but PPP’s chair must first fend off challenges from an internal splinter faction (p. 8). PDI Perjuangan figures made overtures to the National Awakening Party (PKB) and the National Democrat (Nasdem) Party (p. 7). Discussions also exist of various potential fourth tickets. The maneuvering may persist until exact seat allocation percentages become clear on 17 18 May – and until the official nominating on 20 May, politicians’ pronouncements will be subject to change. Ultimately, elite alliances and vice presidential choices matter little to the popularity of presidential bids, and nomination alliances are poor indicators for how parties might align in the new parliament in October. Importantly, Widodo and other PDI P officials reiterated that there would be no bartering of cabinet seats for pledges of parliamentary support (p. 4). In the approach to a National Leadership Meeting (Rapimnas) in May, Golkar figures voicing reservations about nominating Bakrie still appear to be only a small minority (p. 8).

Surveys: An Indikator Politik exit poll sheds light on factors influencing voters. Vote¬buying is inefficient, only marginally effective and potentially counter productive (p. 9).

Policy: The energy minister said that an increase in minimum biodiesel content will take place only in 2016, as realization levels are below target so far this year (p. 10).

Regional Elections: The winner of Lampung’s gubernatorial election is a 33 year old Partai Demokrat figure who is a second generation executive in Gunawan Yusuf’s Sugar Group (SGC), a locally dominant plantation conglomerate (p. 12).

Appointments: Intrigue surrounds cam¬paigning for the imminent vacancy in the post of State Audit Agency (BPK) chair. The appointment of a credible figure could revive the independent agency’s role as force for clean governance (p. 13).

Outlook: Developments will hinge in part on whether PDI-P passes the nominating threshold on its own. Preliminary data, from regional level Quick Count breakdowns, suggests that it will (p. 14).

Reformasi Weekly Review provides timely, relevant and independent analysis on Indonesian political and policy news. Delivered electronically every Friday, Reformasi Weekly is written by Kevin O’Rourke, author of the book Reformasi. For subscription information please contact. Reformasi Weekly is a product of PT Reformasi Info Sastra.
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